Works Citing Bendel and Hua on Natural Fecundability

田中 重人

- a literature review on the origin of a falsified chart used in high school education in Japan

田中重人 <http://tsigeto.info>
(東北大学)

東北大学文学研究科研究年報 (2017-03)

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Title: Works citing Bendel and Hua on natural fecundability: a literature review on the origin of a falsified chart used in high school education in Japan
Author: TANAKA Sigeto || 田中重人
Journal: Annual Reports of Graduate School of Arts and Letters, Tohoku University || 東北大学文学研究科研究年報
Publisher: Graduate School of Arts and Letters, Tohoku University || 東北大学大学院文学研究科
Volume: 66
Pages: 142-128 (111-125)
Date: 2017-03
Language: JPN
Handle: 10097/00107733
NAID: 120006028418
NCID: AA11521033
ISSN: 1346-7182
SocArXiv: http://osf.io/rmu75/
Academia.edu: https://www.academia.edu/33598554

URI: http://tsigeto.info/17a
OSF project: https://osf.io/yxwj9/
Blog entry: http://d.hatena.ne.jp/remcat/20170315

要約

This paper reports the results of a literature review on "An Estimate of the Natural Fecundability Ratio Curve" by Bendel and Hua (1978, Social Biology 25). The estimation of this work was the origin of a falsified chart on women's age-fertility profile that was featured in a high school health education material published in 2015 by the government of Japan. The author searched citation databases and collected 23 works citing the study. A review of the 23 works showed that biases and unreliability of the Bendel-Hua estimation had been pointed repeatedly. The results imply that the chart would be inappropriate for educational use, even if it were not falsified. Both the Japanese government and academics are responsible for the inappropriate chart being used without a comprehensive literature review to insure the reliability of scientific knowledge.

図

Figure 1. Charts on the high-school side-reader
Figure 2. The process of the transformation of the data

付録

Extracts from the collected works

文献

[Bendel 1978] Bendel, Jean-Pierre, 1978, "A Model of Births for Developing Countries and Its Use in the Study of the Demographic Effect of Birth Control," Ph.D. dissertation, Carnegie-Mellon University, (Purchased November 16, 2015, UMI Dissertation Services 7814379). {NCID:BA8994655X}
[Bendel and Hua 1978] Bendel, Jean-Pierre, and Chang-i Hua, 1978, "An Estimate of the Natural Fecundability Ratio Curve." Social Biology, 25(3): 210-227, ({DOI:10.1080/19485565.1978.9988340}).
[Brewis 1992] Brewis, Alexandra Avril, 1992, "Age and Infertility: An Ethnodemographic Study from Butaritari Atoll, Kiribati." Ph.D. dissertation, University of Arizona, (Retrieved September 15, 2015, {http://hdl.handle.net/10150/185797}).
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[Ellison 1994] Ellison, P. T., 1994, "Advances in Human Reproductive Ecology," Annual Review of Anthropology, 23: 255-275, (Retrieved November 13, 2015, {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2156014}).
[Ellison 1996] Ellison, Peter T., 1996, "Age and Developmental Effects on Human Ovarian Function," Lyliane Rosetta, and C. G. N. Mascie-Taylor (eds.), Variability in Human Fertility (Cambridge Studies in Biological Anthropology 19), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 69-90, ({ISBN:0-521-49569-5})
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[Golden and Millman 1993] Golden, Meredith L., and Sara R. Millman, 1993, "Models of Fecundability," Ronald Gray, Henri Leridon, and Alfred Spira (eds.), Biomedical and Demographic Determinants of Reproduction (International Studies in Demography), Oxford: Clarendon Press, 183-208, ({ISBN:0-19-828371-7})
[Holman et al. 2006] Holman, Darryl J., Kathleen A. O'Connor, and James W. Wood, 2006, "Age and Female Reproductive Function: Identifying the Most Important Biological Determinants," Claudine Sauvain-Dugerdil, Henri Leridon, and Nicholas Mascie-Taylor (eds.), Human Clocks: The Bio-cultural Meanings of Age (Population, Family, and Society 5), Bern: Peter Lang, 171-199, ({ISBN:3-03910-785-2}).
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[James 1979] James, William H. 1979, "The Causes of the Decline in Fecundability with Age," Social Biology, 26(4): 330-334, ({DOI:10.1080/19485565.1979.9988390}).
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[Sarma 1985] Sarma, R. S. S., 1985, "Parity Specific Birth Probabilities by Duration of Marriage" (CDC Working Paper 11), Cairo: Cairo Demographic Centre. http://www.popline.org/node/415915
[Sheps 1965] Sheps, Mindel C., 1965, "An Analysis of Reproductive Patterns in an American Isolate," Population Studies, 19(1): 65-80, ({DOI:10.1080/00324728.1965.10406005}).
[Smits et al. 1998] Smits, Luc J., Gerhard A. Zielhuis, Piet H. Jongbloet, and Huub Straatman, 1998, "Seasonal Variation in Human Fecundability," Human Reproduction, 13(12): 3520-3524, (Retrieved September 8, 2015, {DOI:10.1093/humrep/13.12.3520}).
[Snopkowski and Kaplan 2014] Snopkowski, Kristin, and Hillard Kaplan, 2014, "A Synthetic Biosocial Model of Fertility Transition: Testing the Relative Contribution of Embodied Capital Theory, Changing Cultural Norms, and Women's Labor Force Participation," American Journal of Physical Anthropology. 154(3): 322-333, (Retrieved September 8, 2015, {DOI:10.1002/ajpa.22512}).
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[Weinstein et al. 1993] Weinstein, Maxine, James Wood, and Chang Ming-Chen, 1993, "Age Patterns of Fecundability," Ronald Gray, Henri Leridon, and Alfred Spira (eds.), Biomedical and Demographic Determinants of Reproduction (International Studies in Demography), Oxford: Clarendon Press, 209-227, ({ISBN:0-19-828371-7})
[Williams 2003] Williams, Sharon R., 2003, "Energy Balance, Health and Fecundity among Bhutia Women of Gangtok, Sikkim, India," Ph.D. dissertation, Ohio State University, (Retrieved February 3, 2016 {http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1061295651})
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Works Citing Bendel and Hua on Natural Fecundability

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